منابع مشابه
Nowcasting and the Taylor Rule
Actual federal funds rates in the U.S. have, at times, deviated from the recommendations of a simple Taylor rule. This paper proposes a “nowcasting” Taylor rule that preserves the form of the Taylor rule but encompasses realistic assumptions on information observable to policymakers. Because contemporaneous inflation rates and output gaps are not observable at the time policy is set, policymake...
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Article history: Received 8 August 2012 Received in revised form 18 June 2014 Accepted 1 July 2014 Available online 9 July 2014 This paper examines how stock market liquidity and commonality in liquidity are impacted by real-time output gap and inflation, as these macroeconomic variables have been shown to be the main drivers of monetary policy according to the Taylor rule. We show that an incr...
متن کاملReal-time expectations in the Taylor rule
This paper presents a refined interpretation of the role of real time data in estimating a Taylor rule. We use monthly Consensus survey data to construct inflationary and growth expectations. We argue that using real time expectations in estimating a Taylor rule is to be preferred above using real time output gap data alone. We approach uncertainty by the variance and skewness of expected outpu...
متن کاملA Taylor Rule for Fiscal Policy?
In times of rapid macroeconomic change it would seem useful for both fiscal and monetary policy to be modified frequently. This is true for monetary policy with monthly meetings of the Open Market Committee. It is not true for fiscal policy which mostly varies with the annual Congressional budget cycle. This paper proposes a feedback framework for analyzing the question of whether or not moveme...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Money, Credit and Banking
سال: 2015
ISSN: 0022-2879
DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12169